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Forecast price of basic commodities using - LSTM Algorithm and ExponenTial Smoothing

  • Deep Learning Model (LSTM neural network) with scale minmax data, without scale minmax data
  • Error Trend Seasonal Model
  • Exploratory Data Analysis with in time series analysis (Trend, Seasonal, Statistics Descriptives)

Dataset = Basic commodities of East Kalimantan Times = 01-01-2020 until 24-03-2022 from Web Dinas Perdagangan Indonesia

  • Summary(1) = MAPE ETS < MAPE LSTM
  • Summary(2) = MAPE ETS Multiplicative < MAPE ETS Additive