Algerian Forest Fires

Problem Statement

• Fire is the main cause of forest destruction in the countries of the Mediterranean Basin.
• About 50000 fires sweep through 700 000 to 1 million hectares of Mediterranean forests, wooded lands and other land types each year.
• Understanding the reasons why fires start is, therefore, a crucial factor in preventing or reducing their incidence, developing significant prevention efforts and designing specific fire prevention campaigns.

Dataset

• The dataset includes 244 instances that regroup a data of two regions of Algeria, namely the Bejaia region located in the northeast of Algeria and the Sidi Bel-abbes region located in the northwest of Algeria.
• 122 instances for each region.
• The period from June 2012 to September 2012.
• The dataset includes 11 attributes and 1 output attribute (class)
• The 244 instances have been classified into fire (138 classes) and not fire (106 classes) classes.

Models Used

• Logistic Regression
• Ridge Regression
• Cross Validation Ridge
• Lasso Regression
• Cross Validation Lasso
• Elastic Reression