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This simple program uses Monte Carlo simulation to compute the maximum denstiy of trees in a forest, such that a forest fire has a low probability of spreading.

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Forest-fire-Simulation

This simple program uses Monte Carlo simulation to compute the maximum denstiy of trees in a forest, such that a forest fire has a low probability of spreading.

Basic Rules/Assumptions

We model a forst as a 2D array. Each cell can either be occupied by a tree, or can be empty. For a value of d, in range [0.0,1.0], we that a forest has density d if each cell is a tree with probability d, or empty with probability (1-d)

  • A forest with density 0.0 contains no tree ( every cell is empty with 100% probability.

  • A forest with density 0.5 has roughly half of its cells filled with trees (each cell contains a tree with 50% probability).

  • A forest with density 1.0 has every cell occupied by a tree (every cell contains a tree with 100% probability).

We model a forest fire by setting trees in the top row of our forest on fire. The fire then tries to spread to neighboring trees (left, right, up, and down). We say a forest fire spread if it manages to reach the bottom of the forest.

forest fire

Problem Restatement

The following program consider a low probability of firespreading to be p < 0.5, thus our original problem can be restated as:

Find the maximum density d, such that the probability of fire spreading in a forest of density d is less than 0.5

We use two different algorithms to help determine whether the fire has spread to bottom or not: Breadth-first Search and Depth-first Search.

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This simple program uses Monte Carlo simulation to compute the maximum denstiy of trees in a forest, such that a forest fire has a low probability of spreading.

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